Amber List Recovering
AMSF
AMERISAFE, Inc.
Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty · small-cap ($567M)
-32.8%
from rolling 252-day high of $45.44 set 2025-05-20 · 359d ago
Current
$30.54
Decline depth
-32.8%
Decline σ
4.2σ
TFC
2/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Structural break signals

AMSF qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-32.8%
From rolling 252-day high of $45.44, 359d ago. Past the 30% Amber threshold.
Time-frame continuity
2/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
4.2σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (2.79% per day). Past the ≥4σ Watch threshold.

The structural read

What price action says about AMSF.

AMSF qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -32.8% from its rolling 252-day high.

Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 4.2σ over 20 bars.

Alongside that decline, our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames — moderate or strong time-frame-continuity (TFC) alignment — so the ticker also carries a Recovering badge. The two readings coexist: the tier tells you how deep the damage is, the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. Recovering is not a buy signal; it's a structural read.

Upstream TFC read: strong alignment, current phase weekly. Last bar types — daily 2U (green), weekly 2U (green), monthly 2D (green).

Earnings on file: 2026-04-22. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

52-week range

52W low $29.42 5.9% of range 52W high $48.54

Sector context · Financial Services

89 other Financial Services tickers are on Broken Stocks.

42 Red List
28 Amber
19 Watch
-32.9% Median decline

Worst in sector: GSHD (-67.9%). Least-bad: FG (-20.1%). See all Financial Services listings →

Questions about AMSF

What people ask.

Why is AMSF on Broken Stocks?

AMSF qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -32.8% from its rolling 252-day high of $45.44, set on 2025-05-20 — 359d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.

What does the Recovering badge mean for AMSF?

Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — AMSF is still Amber List because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.

Is AMSF a falling knife?

Not by the strict technical definition. AMSF is down -32.8% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 359d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. AMSF is still on the Amber List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.

Is AMSF a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is AMSF trading inside its 52-week range?

At $30.54, AMSF sits 5.9% of the way from its 52-week low ($29.42) to its 52-week high ($48.54). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has AMSF been declining?

The current 32.8% decline accrued over 359d, which annualizes to roughly -33.3% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does AMSF compare to its sector?

There are 89 other Financial Services tickers on Broken Stocks: 42 Red, 28 Amber, 19 Watch, with 31 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -32.9% — AMSF's decline is shallower than the sector median.

Does AMSF's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-04-22) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.