Red List
ARVN
Arvinas, Inc.
Healthcare · Biotechnology · small-cap ($637M)
-35.1%
from rolling 252-day high of $14.51 set 2026-03-10 · 65d ago
Current
$9.42
Decline depth
-35.1%
Decline σ
6.9σ
TFC
3/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Structural break signals

ARVN qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-35.1%
From rolling 252-day high of $14.51, 65d ago. Past the 30% Amber threshold.
Time-frame continuity
3/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3. Past the 3/5 Watch threshold.
Decline sigma
6.9σ
Drop from local high over the last 10 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (2.59% per day). Past the ≥6σ Amber threshold.

The structural read

What price action says about ARVN.

ARVN qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -35.1% from its rolling 252-day high. Past 30% with the high set inside the last four months — the recency clause that often precedes further breakdown. Depth plus recency: this is the pattern many investors call a falling knife.

Cross-confirmation: also showing 3/5 bearish time frames.

Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 6.9σ over 10 bars.

Upstream TFC read: bearish alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (red), weekly 2D (red), monthly 2D (red).

Earnings on file: 2026-05-12. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

52-week range

52W low $5.90 40.9% of range 52W high $14.51

Sector context · Healthcare

182 other Healthcare tickers are on Broken Stocks.

92 Red List
43 Amber
47 Watch
-35.8% Median decline

Worst in sector: OPRX (-76.7%). Least-bad: ANIP (-20.0%). See all Healthcare listings →

Questions about ARVN

What people ask.

Why is ARVN on Broken Stocks?

ARVN qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -35.1% from its rolling 252-day high of $14.51, set on 2026-03-10 — 65d ago.

Is ARVN a falling knife?

By the most common technical definition — a steep, recent breakdown from a fresh high — yes. ARVN is down -35.1% from its 52-week high of $14.51, set 65d ago. That combination of depth (past the 30% Amber threshold) and recency (high set inside the last 120 days) is the textbook falling-knife pattern. Whether to try to catch it is a separate question — historically most attempts to bottom-pick continue lower before reversing. Broken Stocks flags the pattern; it does not recommend buying or selling.

Is ARVN a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is ARVN trading inside its 52-week range?

At $9.42, ARVN sits 40.9% of the way from its 52-week low ($5.90) to its 52-week high ($14.51). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has ARVN been declining?

The current 35.1% decline accrued over 65d, which annualizes to roughly -197.1% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does ARVN compare to its sector?

There are 182 other Healthcare tickers on Broken Stocks: 92 Red, 43 Amber, 47 Watch, with 55 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -35.8% — ARVN's decline is shallower than the sector median.

Does ARVN's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-05-12) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.