Red List
MAT
Mattel, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical · Leisure · mid-cap ($4.5B)
-32.8%
from rolling 252-day high of $22.48 set 2026-02-10 · 93d ago
Current
$15.11
Decline depth
-32.8%
Decline σ
2.6σ
TFC
0/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Structural break signals

MAT qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-32.8%
From rolling 252-day high of $22.48, 93d ago. Past the 30% Amber threshold.
Time-frame continuity
0/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
2.6σ
Drop from local high over the last 5 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (1.68% per day).

The structural read

What price action says about MAT.

MAT qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -32.8% from its rolling 252-day high. Past 30% with the high set inside the last four months — the recency clause that often precedes further breakdown. Depth plus recency: this is the pattern many investors call a falling knife.

Upstream TFC read: weak alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2U (green), weekly 1 (red), monthly 2U (gray).

Earnings on file: 2026-02-10. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

52-week range

52W low $13.95 13.6% of range 52W high $22.48

Sector context · Consumer Cyclical

128 other Consumer Cyclical tickers are on Broken Stocks.

59 Red List
43 Amber
26 Watch
-35.3% Median decline

Worst in sector: FLUT (-70.1%). Least-bad: THRM (-20.3%). See all Consumer Cyclical listings →

Questions about MAT

What people ask.

Why is MAT on Broken Stocks?

MAT qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -32.8% from its rolling 252-day high of $22.48, set on 2026-02-10 — 93d ago.

Is MAT a falling knife?

By the most common technical definition — a steep, recent breakdown from a fresh high — yes. MAT is down -32.8% from its 52-week high of $22.48, set 93d ago. That combination of depth (past the 30% Amber threshold) and recency (high set inside the last 120 days) is the textbook falling-knife pattern. Whether to try to catch it is a separate question — historically most attempts to bottom-pick continue lower before reversing. Broken Stocks flags the pattern; it does not recommend buying or selling.

Is MAT a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is MAT trading inside its 52-week range?

At $15.11, MAT sits 13.6% of the way from its 52-week low ($13.95) to its 52-week high ($22.48). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has MAT been declining?

The current 32.8% decline accrued over 93d, which annualizes to roughly -128.7% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does MAT compare to its sector?

There are 128 other Consumer Cyclical tickers on Broken Stocks: 59 Red, 43 Amber, 26 Watch, with 19 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -35.3% — MAT's decline is shallower than the sector median.

Does MAT's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-02-10) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.