Decline depth
-25.9%
From rolling 252-day high of $552.24, 287d ago.
Past the 20% Watch threshold.
Amber List Recovering
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
Technology · Software - Infrastructure · mega-cap ($2.8T)
-25.9%
from rolling 252-day high of $552.24 set 2025-07-31 · 287d ago
Current
$409.43
Decline depth
-25.9%
Decline σ
4.4σ
TFC
4/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Structural break signals
MSFT qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
4/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Past the 4/5 Amber threshold.
Decline sigma
4.4σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (1.73% per day).
Past the ≥4σ Watch threshold.
The structural read
What price action says about MSFT.
MSFT qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -25.9% from its rolling 252-day high.
Cross-confirmation: also showing 4/5 bearish time frames.
Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 4.4σ over 20 bars.
Alongside that decline, our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames — moderate or strong time-frame-continuity (TFC) alignment — so the ticker also carries a Recovering badge. The two readings coexist: the tier tells you how deep the damage is, the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. Recovering is not a buy signal; it's a structural read.
Upstream TFC read: moderate alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 3 (green), weekly 2D (green), monthly 1 (red).
Earnings on file: 2026-01-28. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.
52-week range
52W low $344.79
30.7% of range
52W high $555.45
Sector context · Technology
172 other Technology tickers are on Broken Stocks.
119
Red List
35
Amber
18
Watch
-44.4%
Median decline
Worst in sector: PAR (-79.8%). Least-bad: IMMR (-20.8%). See all Technology listings →
Related — same sector
Closest decliners to MSFT
Watch
SONO
Sonos, Inc.
Watch
CACI
CACI International, Inc.
Watch Recovering
ONDS
Ondas Inc
Amber List
PAGS
PagSeguro Digital Ltd.
Watch
UBER
Uber Technologies, Inc.
Amber List Recovering
ZBRA
Zebra Technologies Corporation
Questions about MSFT
What people ask.
Why is MSFT on Broken Stocks?
MSFT qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -25.9% from its rolling 252-day high of $552.24, set on 2025-07-31 — 287d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.
What does the Recovering badge mean for MSFT?
Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — MSFT is still Amber List because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.
Is MSFT a falling knife?
No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. MSFT is down -25.9% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.
Is MSFT a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is MSFT trading inside its 52-week range?
At $409.43, MSFT sits 30.7% of the way from its 52-week low ($344.79) to its 52-week high ($555.45). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has MSFT been declining?
The current 25.9% decline accrued over 287d, which annualizes to roughly -32.9% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does MSFT compare to its sector?
There are 172 other Technology tickers on Broken Stocks: 119 Red, 35 Amber, 18 Watch, with 45 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -44.4% — MSFT's decline is shallower than the sector median.
Does MSFT's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-01-28) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.