Decline depth
-25.6%
From rolling 252-day high of $83.12, 251d ago.
Past the 20% Watch threshold.
Amber List
MTH
Meritage Homes Corporation
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction · mid-cap ($4.4B)
-25.6%
from rolling 252-day high of $83.12 set 2025-09-05 · 251d ago
Current
$61.85
Decline depth
-25.6%
Decline σ
6.5σ
TFC
3/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high
Up day
Down day
Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca
Structural break signals
MTH qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth.
Time-frame continuity
3/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Past the 3/5 Watch threshold.
Decline sigma
6.5σ
Drop from local high over the last 20 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (2.29% per day).
Past the ≥6σ Amber threshold.
The structural read
What price action says about MTH.
MTH qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth — down -25.6% from its rolling 252-day high.
Cross-confirmation: also showing 3/5 bearish time frames.
Cross-confirmation: decline sigma also reads 6.5σ over 20 bars.
Upstream TFC read: bearish alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2U (red), weekly 2D (red), monthly 1 (red).
Earnings on file: 2026-04-22. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.
52-week range
52W low $58.03
14.3% of range
52W high $84.74
Sector context · Consumer Cyclical
128 other Consumer Cyclical tickers are on Broken Stocks.
60
Red List
42
Amber
26
Watch
-35.3%
Median decline
Worst in sector: FLUT (-70.1%). Least-bad: THRM (-20.3%). See all Consumer Cyclical listings →
Related — same sector
Closest decliners to MTH
Watch Recovering
DCH
Dauch Corporation
Watch
ZUMZ
Zumiez Inc.
Amber List
KTB
Kontoor Brands, Inc.
Watch Recovering
SRI
Stoneridge, Inc.
Watch
OXM
Oxford Industries, Inc.
Amber List
MTN
Vail Resorts, Inc.
Questions about MTH
What people ask.
Why is MTH on Broken Stocks?
MTH qualifies for the Amber List on decline depth. It is down -25.6% from its rolling 252-day high of $83.12, set on 2025-09-05 — 251d ago.
Is MTH a falling knife?
No. The falling-knife label usually implies a steep, severe drop — typically 30% or more from a fresh high. MTH is down -25.6% from its 52-week high, which qualifies for the Watch tier but is shallower than the falling-knife pattern. It's an early-stage decline rather than a sharp breakdown.
Is MTH a buy?
Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.
Where is MTH trading inside its 52-week range?
At $61.85, MTH sits 14.3% of the way from its 52-week low ($58.03) to its 52-week high ($84.74). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.
How fast has MTH been declining?
The current 25.6% decline accrued over 251d, which annualizes to roughly -37.2% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.
How does MTH compare to its sector?
There are 128 other Consumer Cyclical tickers on Broken Stocks: 60 Red, 42 Amber, 26 Watch, with 19 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -35.3% — MTH's decline is shallower than the sector median.
Does MTH's earnings date affect its tier?
No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-04-22) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.