Red List Recovering
NGVC
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cott
Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores · small-cap ($590M)
-44.3%
from rolling 252-day high of $51.81 set 2025-05-16 · 363d ago
Current
$28.86
Decline depth
-44.3%
Decline σ
2.3σ
TFC
4/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Structural break signals

NGVC qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-44.3%
From rolling 252-day high of $51.81, 363d ago. Past the 40% Red List threshold.
Time-frame continuity
4/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3. Past the 4/5 Amber threshold.
Decline sigma
2.3σ
Drop from local high over the last 10 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (2.69% per day).

The structural read

What price action says about NGVC.

NGVC qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -44.3% from its rolling 252-day high. Past the 40% threshold, the deepest tier in the taxonomy.

Cross-confirmation: also showing 4/5 bearish time frames.

Alongside that decline, our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames — moderate or strong time-frame-continuity (TFC) alignment — so the ticker also carries a Recovering badge. The two readings coexist: the tier tells you how deep the damage is, the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. Recovering is not a buy signal; it's a structural read.

Upstream TFC read: moderate alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2U (green), weekly 1 (green), monthly 3 (red).

Earnings on file: 2026-02-05. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

52-week range

52W low $23.47 14.3% of range 52W high $61.22

Sector context · Consumer Defensive

47 other Consumer Defensive tickers are on Broken Stocks.

27 Red List
13 Amber
7 Watch
-36.1% Median decline

Worst in sector: SKIL (-71.7%). Least-bad: BJ (-20.1%). See all Consumer Defensive listings →

Questions about NGVC

What people ask.

Why is NGVC on Broken Stocks?

NGVC qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -44.3% from its rolling 252-day high of $51.81, set on 2025-05-16 — 363d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.

What does the Recovering badge mean for NGVC?

Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — NGVC is still Red List because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.

Is NGVC a falling knife?

Not by the strict technical definition. NGVC is down -44.3% from its 52-week high, but that high was set 363d ago — more than 120 days. A falling knife is usually a recent breakdown from a fresh high, not an established multi-quarter downtrend. NGVC is still on the Red List for decline depth, but the freshness component of a falling knife is missing.

Is NGVC a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is NGVC trading inside its 52-week range?

At $28.86, NGVC sits 14.3% of the way from its 52-week low ($23.47) to its 52-week high ($61.22). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has NGVC been declining?

The current 44.3% decline accrued over 363d, which annualizes to roughly -44.5% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does NGVC compare to its sector?

There are 47 other Consumer Defensive tickers on Broken Stocks: 27 Red, 13 Amber, 7 Watch, with 10 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -36.1% — NGVC's decline is deeper than the sector median.

Does NGVC's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-02-05) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.