Red List Recovering
TPB
Turning Point Brands, Inc.
Consumer Defensive · Tobacco · small-cap ($1.5B)
-37.8%
from rolling 252-day high of $146.76 set 2026-02-26 · 77d ago
Current
$91.24
Decline depth
-37.8%
Decline σ
2.0σ
TFC
1/5 bearish
Rolling 252-day high Up day Down day Last 90 trading days · data from Alpaca

Structural break signals

TPB qualifies for the Red List on decline depth.

Decline depth
-37.8%
From rolling 252-day high of $146.76, 77d ago. Past the 30% Amber threshold.
Time-frame continuity
1/5 bearish
Latest bar across daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly/yearly time frames. A bar counts as bearish when it's a 2-Down or a red 3.
Decline sigma
2.0σ
Drop from local high over the last 5 bars, expressed in units of the stock's typical daily volatility (5.19% per day).

The structural read

What price action says about TPB.

TPB qualifies for the Red List on decline depth — down -37.8% from its rolling 252-day high. Past 30% with the high set inside the last four months — the recency clause that often precedes further breakdown. Depth plus recency: this is the pattern many investors call a falling knife.

Alongside that decline, our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames — moderate or strong time-frame-continuity (TFC) alignment — so the ticker also carries a Recovering badge. The two readings coexist: the tier tells you how deep the damage is, the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. Recovering is not a buy signal; it's a structural read.

Upstream TFC read: moderate alignment, current phase daily. Last bar types — daily 2D (green), weekly 1 (red), monthly 2U (green).

Earnings on file: 2026-03-02. Tiering is unaffected by earnings dates — listings reflect price structure only.

52-week range

52W low $58.04 37.4% of range 52W high $146.90

Sector context · Consumer Defensive

47 other Consumer Defensive tickers are on Broken Stocks.

27 Red List
13 Amber
7 Watch
-36.1% Median decline

Worst in sector: SKIL (-71.7%). Least-bad: BJ (-20.1%). See all Consumer Defensive listings →

Questions about TPB

What people ask.

Why is TPB on Broken Stocks?

TPB qualifies for the Red List on decline depth. It is down -37.8% from its rolling 252-day high of $146.76, set on 2026-02-26 — 77d ago. It additionally carries a Recovering badge — see below.

What does the Recovering badge mean for TPB?

Recovering means our proprietary engine has flagged a confirmed bullish structural signal on one or more time frames (moderate or strong time-frame continuity). It coexists with the decline tier — TPB is still Red List because the rolling-252-day decline hasn't healed, but a bullish setup has formed inside that decline. The two readings answer different questions: the tier tells you how deep the damage is; the Recovering badge tells you whether momentum may be turning. It's not a buy recommendation.

Is TPB a falling knife?

By the most common technical definition — a steep, recent breakdown from a fresh high — yes. TPB is down -37.8% from its 52-week high of $146.76, set 77d ago. That combination of depth (past the 30% Amber threshold) and recency (high set inside the last 120 days) is the textbook falling-knife pattern. Whether to try to catch it is a separate question — historically most attempts to bottom-pick continue lower before reversing. Broken Stocks flags the pattern; it does not recommend buying or selling.

Is TPB a buy?

Broken Stocks does not issue buy or sell recommendations. The list is a rules-based technical warning system. It tracks structural decline depth and recency — not company quality, management, fundamentals, or news. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor.

Where is TPB trading inside its 52-week range?

At $91.24, TPB sits 37.4% of the way from its 52-week low ($58.04) to its 52-week high ($146.90). A reading below 25% indicates price is hugging the bottom of the range; above 75%, the top.

How fast has TPB been declining?

The current 37.8% decline accrued over 77d, which annualizes to roughly -179.2% per year. Annualized pace is a sanity check — a 30% decline in three months is a different signal than a 30% decline over two years.

How does TPB compare to its sector?

There are 47 other Consumer Defensive tickers on Broken Stocks: 27 Red, 13 Amber, 7 Watch, with 10 showing recovering structural signals. Median sector decline is -36.1% — TPB's decline is deeper than the sector median.

Does TPB's earnings date affect its tier?

No. Tiering is decided purely by decline depth and recency of the rolling-high date. The earnings date on file (2026-03-02) is shown for reference only — listings can move tier between scans based on closing prices, regardless of fundamentals or news events.